The next candle-maker.
Upcoming macro releases and crypto-specific events that move price. FOMC, CPI, NFP, ETF rebalance windows, large token unlocks. Sized by impact and time-to-event.
- US Non-Farm Payrolls · MayhighLabor
Headline payrolls, U-rate, avg hourly earnings. Risk-on/off coin flip.
Fri, Jun 5 · 08:30 ET · source3dto event - US CPI · May releasehighInflation
Headline + core CPI. Spot reaction in DXY, 10Y, then BTC.
Thu, Jun 11 · 08:30 ET · source9dto event - ARB unlock · ~91M tokensmediumToken unlock
Arbitrum periodic unlock. ~3% of circulating supply, typically lands in market makers.
Tue, Jun 16 · On-chain settlement14dto event - FOMC meeting + rate decisionhighFOMC
Federal Reserve rate decision and SEP / dot plot. Highest-impact macro window for crypto risk pricing.
Wed, Jun 17 · 14:00 ET · presser 14:30 ET · source15dto event - BTC + ETH ETF Q2 rebalance windowmediumETF flow
Large spot ETF basket reweighting. Watch for premium swings on the underlying.
Tue, Jun 30 · T+1 settlement28dto event - US Non-Farm Payrolls · JunehighLabor
Headline payrolls, U-rate, avg hourly earnings.
Fri, Jul 3 · 08:30 ET · source31dto event - US CPI · June releasehighInflation
Headline + core CPI. Often the most-traded macro day of the month.
Wed, Jul 15 · 08:30 ET · source43dto event - FOMC meeting + rate decisionhighFOMC
Federal Reserve rate decision. No SEP this meeting — presser only.
Wed, Jul 29 · 14:00 ET · presser 14:30 ET · source57dto event - FOMC meeting + SEPhighFOMC
Federal Reserve rate decision with Summary of Economic Projections refresh.
Wed, Sep 16 · 14:00 ET · presser 14:30 ET · source106dto event
FOMC + CPI windows are the most consistent volatility events. The 2-hour window around an FOMC presser sees BTC realized vol spike 3-5x. Token unlocks rarely dump immediately — watch the 24-48h window after for spot pressure on weak names. Track records overlay these events in /track-record to see how AI calls performed across regime changes.