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Oracle Debate · 03gla_lzs11i
ETH

ETH

longClosed · Win

Published 98d ago · conviction 74/100 · live mark $1,840.3 (+1.86% / 24h)

Bull vs Bear verdict
Bull case
78
Bull dominant
margin 32 pts
Bear case
46
63%
37%

Direction-aligned thesis. The winning bull case agrees with the published direction (long) — internal coherence is high.

Bull case
Winner
  1. 1MACD histogram positive
  2. 2Price above SMA20
  3. 3SMA20 above SMA50
  4. 4Candidate score 117.5 with promotion state ready.
  5. 5RSI_PULLBACK replay (exact_regime) scored 24.7, returned 6.84%, win rate 100.0%.
  6. 6FredAI promotes this setup. RSI_PULLBACK is graded B in current memory. Policy confidence 91.5.
Bear case
  1. 1ADX 32.8 means follow-through must be monitored; weak trend can chop the setup.
  2. 2Stop invalidates at $2181.8450; failure to move away from entry should be treated as warning.
  3. 3Model risk fallback used after: scheduler fast path
Trade setup
Conviction
74/100
Entry low
$2,224.67
Entry high
$2,246.09
Target 1
$2,301.76
Target 2
$2,342.45
Stop loss
$2,181.85
R:R
2.0:1
Timeframe
1-3d
Expires
2026-04-14
Current mark
$1,840.3
ETH · 1h candles · last 121
Entry / Target / Stop overlaid
2,372.052,209.262,046.481,883.691,720.91,840.27/13 13:007/14 19:007/16 01:007/17 07:007/18 13:00
Technical analysis · 4h
Open in Chart Lab
Trend · bullishMomentum · neutralVolatility · lowSMA · golden cross
RSI 14
46.5
Neutral
ADX 14
20.0
Weak trend
ATR 14
22.64
1.23% of price
Bollinger 20 · 2σ
Upper 1938
Lower 1803
inside
SMA stack
201870
501834
2001730
Outcome
Realized PnL
+7.74%
Peak run
+10.14%
Max adverse
-0.21%
Closed · Win
How the Oracle Debate works

For every published thesis, EGOLDS independently constructs the strongest bull case and the strongest bear case — both adversarial, both fully data-driven from TA + funding + sentiment + on-chain context. The two cases are scored on argument quality, then a risk layer approves or kills the trade before publication. You see both sides before placing any size. No hidden agenda, no one-sided pitch.