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Thesis · thesis_mnt7pbso_w65hxa
INJ

INJ

 longFLAT 1-3d

Generated 53d ago · 2026-04-10T18:01:19Z · expires 2026-04-13

Conviction
74/100
Bull / Bear
78/46
Analyst scores
Realized PnL
-0.01%
peak +0.01% · MAE -0.02%
R:R
1.8:1
Reward over risk
Post-mortem
LONG · auto-derived

Thesis expired flat — closed -1.26%.

  • Closed -1.26% at conviction 74/100. No standout execution signal — a routine outcome inside expected variance.

Derived deterministically from stored entry/target/stop levels, peak PnL, and max adverse excursion. No model inference — every line maps to a number in the ledger.

Price levels
Entry low
$3.0256
Entry high
$3.0556
Target 1
$3.1243
Target 2
$3.1756
Stop loss
$2.9656
Technical analysis · 4h
Open in Chart Lab
Trend · bullishMomentum · neutralVolatility · highSMA · golden cross
RSI 14
51.8
Neutral
ADX 14
39.0
Trending
ATR 14
0.3700
5.51% of price
Bollinger 20 · 2σ
Upper 7.32
Lower 6.19
inside
SMA stack
206.76
506.30
2005.00
PatternsBullish Harami
TA Workspace · INJ
Full workspace

Candles + Bollinger bands (20·2σ) + SMA 20/50 overlays + price-action arrows (engulf / breakout / reclaim / reject) + support and resistance zones. Toggle layers from the panel controls. For the full workspace with presets and split timeframes, click "Full workspace".

INJ · 4H4H technical map
Syncing
Layers
Drawing technical layers...
Follow this thesis· pre-filled trade plan
Inputs
Mark $6.7126 · max 5x
$
$
$
$
$
%
x
Trade plan
Position size
1,333.3333 INJ
$4.05K
Leverage
0.41x
≤ 5x cap
Effective risk
$100.00
1.00% of account
Liq estimate
—
approx · verify on HL
Stop P&L
-$100.00
1.00% of account
R:R potential
1 : 1.80
T2
Scenarios
T1 hit @ 3.1243
+1.12R$111.60(+1.12%)
T2 hit @ 3.1756
+1.80R$180.00(+1.80%)
Stop hit @ 2.9656
-1.00R-$100.00(-1.00%)
Open INJ on HyperliquidSet the side / leverage / order type yourself in HL — this calculator does not auto-execute.
Bull case
  • RSI 65.3 is elevated; pullback risk, not a standalone short
  • MACD histogram positive
  • Price above SMA20
  • Candidate score 93.0 with promotion state cooldown.
  • BOLLINGER_REVERSAL replay (exact_regime) scored 16.9, returned 2.51%, win rate 80.0%.
  • FredAI promotes this setup. BOLLINGER_REVERSAL is graded A in current memory. Policy confidence 100.0.
Bear case
  • ADX 22.3 means follow-through must be monitored; weak trend can chop the setup.
  • Stop invalidates at $2.9656; failure to move away from entry should be treated as warning.
  • Model risk fallback used after: scheduler fast path
Oracle Debate

See the bull vs bear showdown

Side-by-side debate with score visualizer, individual argument cards, and verdict synthesis. The marketing-grade view of how the thesis was built.

Open Oracle Debate
Debate transcript
Final thesis
INJ Long: directional case leads, counter-case remains tactical

INJ cleared the desk with the LONG case leading on structure, while the opposing case remains tactical rather than dominant. Policy support and deterministic risk levels keep the plan disciplined without stripping out the desk's bull-versus-bear framing.

Technical analyst memo
Asset
INJ
Price3.04
Timestamp1775844018170
Indicators
{
  "rsi14": 65.33,
  "macd": {
    "macd": 0.04,
    "signal": 0.03,
    "histogram": 0.01
  },
  "bollingerBands": {
    "upper": 3.08,
    "middle": 2.96,
    "lower": 2.84,
    "width": 8.13
  },
  "sma20": 2.96,
  "sma50": 2.88,
  "sma200": 2.97,
  "ema12": 2.98,
  "ema26": 2.94,
  "atr14": 0.05,
  "stochastic": {
    "k": 83.62,
    "d": 74.79
  },
  "adx14": 22.27,
  "obv": -70380.78815381997
}
Signals
{
  "trend": "bullish",
  "momentum": "neutral",
  "volatility": "high",
  "macdCross": "none",
  "bbPosition": "inside",
  "smaTrend": "death_cross",
  "patterns": [
    "Doji"
  ]
}
Composite
{
  "bullScore": 8,
  "bearScore": 5,
  "overallBias": "strong_bull"
}
Timeframes
{
  "15m": {
    "asset": "INJ",
    "timestamp": 1775844018169,
    "price": 3.0405771,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 55.83,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0.01,
        "signal": 0.01,
        "histogram": 0
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 3.08,
        "middle": 3.03,
        "lower": 2.99,
        "width": 2.8
      },
      "sma20": 3.03,
      "sma50": 3.01,
      "sma200": 2.96,
      "ema12": 3.04,
      "ema26": 3.03,
      "atr14": 0.01,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 35.15,
        "d": 49.33
      },
      "adx14": 33.39,
      "obv": -19020.334965269987
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "bullish",
      "momentum": "neutral",
      "volatility": "low",
      "macdCross": "bearish_cross",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "golden_cross",
      "patterns": []
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 7,
      "bearScore": 6.5,
      "overallBias": "neutral"
    }
  },
  "1h": {
    "asset": "INJ",
    "timestamp": 1775844018169,
    "price": 3.0405771,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 61.28,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0.02,
        "signal": 0.02,
        "histogram": 0.01
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 3.05,
        "middle": 3,
        "lower": 2.94,
        "width": 3.87
      },
      "sma20": 3,
      "sma50": 2.96,
      "sma200": 2.87,
      "ema12": 3.02,
      "ema26": 2.99,
      "atr14": 0.02,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 71.31,
        "d": 73.33
      },
      "adx14": 32.79,
      "obv": -58710.672765740004
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "bullish",
      "momentum": "neutral",
      "volatility": "low",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "golden_cross",
      "patterns": []
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 8.5,
      "bearScore": 5,
      "overallBias": "strong_bull"
    }
  },
  "4h": {
    "asset": "INJ",
    "timestamp": 1775844018170,
    "price": 3.0405771,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 65.33,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0.04,
        "signal": 0.03,
        "histogram": 0.01
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 3.08,
        "middle": 2.96,
        "lower": 2.84,
        "width": 8.13
      },
      "sma20": 2.96,
      "sma50": 2.88,
      "sma200": 2.97,
      "ema12": 2.98,
      "ema26": 2.94,
      "atr14": 0.05,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 83.62,
        "d": 74.79
      },
      "adx14": 22.27,
      "obv": -70380.78815381997
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "bullish",
      "momentum": "neutral",
      "volatility": "high",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "death_cross",
      "patterns": [
        "Doji"
      ]
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 8,
      "bearScore": 5,
      "overallBias": "strong_bull"
    }
  },
  "1d": {
    "asset": "INJ",
    "timestamp": 1775844018170,
    "price": 3.0405771,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 54.59,
      "macd": {
        "macd": -0.03,
        "signal": -0.06,
        "histogram": 0.03
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 3.11,
        "middle": 2.91,
        "lower": 2.7,
        "width": 14.1
      },
      "sma20": 2.91,
      "sma50": 3.03,
      "sma200": 5.59,
      "ema12": 2.92,
      "ema26": 2.95,
      "atr14": 0.15,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 90.6,
        "d": 71.56
      },
      "adx14": 10.9,
      "obv": -2295215.221092826
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "neutral",
      "momentum": "neutral",
      "volatility": "high",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "death_cross",
      "patterns": []
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 5.5,
      "bearScore": 5,
      "overallBias": "neutral"
    }
  }
}
Sentiment analyst memo
Funding Rate-0.00
Open Interest1732654.31
Price3.04
Risk officer memo
Approvedyes
Risk rating
low
Max position %3.77
Leverage3
Stop loss2.97
Take profit3.18
Risk:Reward
1.8:1
Max drawdown %2.47
Warnings
  • Model risk fallback used after: scheduler fast path
Adjustments
Deterministic fallback risk for INJ; keep size conservative until model risk manager confirms the setup.
Directional decision
Direction
long
Spread25
Dominant Conviction78
Threshold10
Calibrated debate
Bull Conviction78
Bear Conviction25
Notes
  • Scheduler fast path used deterministic thesis synthesis to preserve execution speed.
  • BOLLINGER_REVERSAL is graded A in current memory
  • exact-regime replay is available
  • replay remains supportive with score 16.9
  • LONG desk bias has 100 confidence
FredAI policy
State
promote
Score100
Conviction Adjustment6
Risk Adjustment2
Confidence92.70
Reasons
  • BOLLINGER_REVERSAL is graded A in current memory
  • exact-regime replay is available
  • replay remains supportive with score 16.9
  • LONG desk bias has 100 confidence
Note
FredAI promotes this setup. BOLLINGER_REVERSAL is graded A in current memory. Policy confidence 100.0.
Market snapshot at generation
Mark price
$3.0406
Funding rate
-0.0191%
Open interest
$1.7M
Macro regime
disinflation_drift_bull_lowvol
Replay regime
disinflation_drift_bull_lowvol
Replay strategy
BOLLINGER_REVERSAL · exact_regime
FredAI policy
promote
Desk posture
standard
See INJ chart with overlay More thesesAll INJ theses