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Thesis · thesis_mntvshti_eldrk0
INJ

INJ

 longFLAT 1-3d

Generated 53d ago · 2026-04-11T05:15:38Z · expires 2026-04-14

Conviction
73/100
Bull / Bear
78/46
Analyst scores
Realized PnL
+0.00%
peak +0.01% · MAE -0.00%
R:R
1.8:1
Reward over risk
Post-mortem
LONG · auto-derived

Thesis expired flat — closed +0.06%.

  • Closed +0.06% at conviction 73/100. No standout execution signal — a routine outcome inside expected variance.

Derived deterministically from stored entry/target/stop levels, peak PnL, and max adverse excursion. No model inference — every line maps to a number in the ledger.

Price levels
Entry low
$2.9923
Entry high
$2.9984
Target 1
$3.0125
Target 2
$3.023
Stop loss
$2.98
Technical analysis · 4h
Open in Chart Lab
Trend · bullishMomentum · neutralVolatility · highSMA · golden cross
RSI 14
51.8
Neutral
ADX 14
39.0
Trending
ATR 14
0.3700
5.51% of price
Bollinger 20 · 2σ
Upper 7.32
Lower 6.19
inside
SMA stack
206.76
506.30
2005.00
PatternsBullish Harami
TA Workspace · INJ
Full workspace

Candles + Bollinger bands (20·2σ) + SMA 20/50 overlays + price-action arrows (engulf / breakout / reclaim / reject) + support and resistance zones. Toggle layers from the panel controls. For the full workspace with presets and split timeframes, click "Full workspace".

INJ · 4H4H technical map
Syncing
Layers
Drawing technical layers...
Follow this thesis· pre-filled trade plan
Inputs
Mark $6.7126 · max 5x
$
$
$
$
$
%
x
Trade plan
Position size
6,514.658 INJ
$19.51K
Leverage
1.95x
≤ 5x cap
Effective risk
$100.00
1.00% of account
Liq estimate
$2.2278
approx · verify on HL
Stop P&L
-$100.00
1.00% of account
R:R potential
1 : 1.80
T2
Scenarios
T1 hit @ 3.0125
+1.12R$111.73(+1.12%)
T2 hit @ 3.023
+1.80R$180.13(+1.80%)
Stop hit @ 2.98
-1.00R-$100.00(-1.00%)
Open INJ on HyperliquidSet the side / leverage / order type yourself in HL — this calculator does not auto-execute.
Bull case
  • Price above SMA20
  • SMA20 above SMA50
  • Price above SMA200
  • Candidate score 87.2 with promotion state ready.
  • RSI_PULLBACK replay (exact_regime) scored 14.6, returned 5.14%, win rate 100.0%.
  • FredAI promotes this setup. BOLLINGER_REVERSAL is still graded C and warming. Policy confidence 83.3.
Bear case
  • ADX 24.4 means follow-through must be monitored; weak trend can chop the setup.
  • Stop invalidates at $2.9800; failure to move away from entry should be treated as warning.
  • Model risk fallback used after: scheduler fast path
Oracle Debate

See the bull vs bear showdown

Side-by-side debate with score visualizer, individual argument cards, and verdict synthesis. The marketing-grade view of how the thesis was built.

Open Oracle Debate
Debate transcript
Final thesis
INJ Long: directional case leads, counter-case remains tactical

INJ cleared the desk with the LONG case leading on structure, while the opposing case remains tactical rather than dominant. Policy support and deterministic risk levels keep the plan disciplined without stripping out the desk's bull-versus-bear framing.

Technical analyst memo
Asset
INJ
Price3.00
Timestamp1775884466151
Indicators
{
  "rsi14": 55.34,
  "macd": {
    "macd": 0.04,
    "signal": 0.03,
    "histogram": 0
  },
  "bollingerBands": {
    "upper": 3.08,
    "middle": 2.98,
    "lower": 2.88,
    "width": 6.8
  },
  "sma20": 2.98,
  "sma50": 2.89,
  "sma200": 2.97,
  "ema12": 3,
  "ema26": 2.96,
  "atr14": 0.05,
  "stochastic": {
    "k": 57.58,
    "d": 70.07
  },
  "adx14": 24.45,
  "obv": -80947.21081628001
}
Signals
{
  "trend": "bullish",
  "momentum": "neutral",
  "volatility": "normal",
  "macdCross": "none",
  "bbPosition": "inside",
  "smaTrend": "death_cross",
  "patterns": []
}
Composite
{
  "bullScore": 7,
  "bearScore": 5,
  "overallBias": "bull"
}
Timeframes
{
  "15m": {
    "asset": "INJ",
    "timestamp": 1775884466149,
    "price": 2.99535091,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 28.48,
      "macd": {
        "macd": -0.01,
        "signal": -0.01,
        "histogram": 0
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 3.05,
        "middle": 3.03,
        "lower": 3.01,
        "width": 1.43
      },
      "sma20": 3.03,
      "sma50": 3.05,
      "sma200": 2.98,
      "ema12": 3.02,
      "ema26": 3.03,
      "atr14": 0.01,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 0.72,
        "d": 19.47
      },
      "adx14": 22.29,
      "obv": -4157.264278310001
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "bearish",
      "momentum": "oversold",
      "volatility": "low",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "below_lower",
      "smaTrend": "golden_cross",
      "patterns": [
        "Bearish Marubozu"
      ]
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 7,
      "bearScore": 8,
      "overallBias": "bear"
    }
  },
  "1h": {
    "asset": "INJ",
    "timestamp": 1775884466150,
    "price": 2.99535091,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 43.08,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0.01,
        "signal": 0.02,
        "histogram": -0.01
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 3.09,
        "middle": 3.03,
        "lower": 2.98,
        "width": 3.65
      },
      "sma20": 3.03,
      "sma50": 2.99,
      "sma200": 2.89,
      "ema12": 3.03,
      "ema26": 3.02,
      "atr14": 0.02,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 0.35,
        "d": 6.87
      },
      "adx14": 28.59,
      "obv": -61830.90711926002
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "bullish",
      "momentum": "oversold",
      "volatility": "low",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "golden_cross",
      "patterns": [
        "Bearish Marubozu"
      ]
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 7,
      "bearScore": 5.5,
      "overallBias": "bull"
    }
  },
  "4h": {
    "asset": "INJ",
    "timestamp": 1775884466151,
    "price": 2.99535091,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 55.34,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0.04,
        "signal": 0.03,
        "histogram": 0
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 3.08,
        "middle": 2.98,
        "lower": 2.88,
        "width": 6.8
      },
      "sma20": 2.98,
      "sma50": 2.89,
      "sma200": 2.97,
      "ema12": 3,
      "ema26": 2.96,
      "atr14": 0.05,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 57.58,
        "d": 70.07
      },
      "adx14": 24.45,
      "obv": -80947.21081628001
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "bullish",
      "momentum": "neutral",
      "volatility": "normal",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "death_cross",
      "patterns": []
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 7,
      "bearScore": 5,
      "overallBias": "bull"
    }
  },
  "1d": {
    "asset": "INJ",
    "timestamp": 1775884466151,
    "price": 2.99535091,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 51.97,
      "macd": {
        "macd": -0.02,
        "signal": -0.05,
        "histogram": 0.03
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 3.12,
        "middle": 2.91,
        "lower": 2.7,
        "width": 14.38
      },
      "sma20": 2.91,
      "sma50": 3.03,
      "sma200": 5.54,
      "ema12": 2.93,
      "ema26": 2.96,
      "atr14": 0.14,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 75.1,
        "d": 79.97
      },
      "adx14": 11.02,
      "obv": -2330987.275843956
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "bearish",
      "momentum": "neutral",
      "volatility": "high",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "death_cross",
      "patterns": [
        "Bearish Marubozu"
      ]
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 5.5,
      "bearScore": 6.5,
      "overallBias": "bear"
    }
  }
}
Sentiment analyst memo
Funding Rate-0.00
Open Interest1618525.45
Price3.00
Risk officer memo
Approvedyes
Risk rating
low
Max position %4
Leverage3
Stop loss2.98
Take profit3.02
Risk:Reward
1.8:1
Max drawdown %0.51
Warnings
  • Model risk fallback used after: scheduler fast path
Adjustments
Deterministic fallback risk for INJ; keep size conservative until model risk manager confirms the setup.
Directional decision
Direction
long
Spread18.50
Dominant Conviction78
Threshold10
Calibrated debate
Bull Conviction78
Bear Conviction25
Notes
  • Scheduler fast path used deterministic thesis synthesis to preserve execution speed.
  • BOLLINGER_REVERSAL is still graded C and warming
  • exact-regime replay is available
  • replay remains supportive with score 14.6
  • warming memory still aligns with supportive exact-regime replay
FredAI policy
State
promote
Score83.30
Conviction Adjustment6
Risk Adjustment2
Confidence75.90
Reasons
  • BOLLINGER_REVERSAL is still graded C and warming
  • exact-regime replay is available
  • replay remains supportive with score 14.6
  • warming memory still aligns with supportive exact-regime replay
Note
FredAI promotes this setup. BOLLINGER_REVERSAL is still graded C and warming. Policy confidence 83.3.
Market snapshot at generation
Mark price
$2.9954
Funding rate
-0.0010%
Open interest
$1.6M
Macro regime
disinflation_range_bull_lowvol
Replay regime
disinflation_range_bull_lowvol
Replay strategy
RSI_PULLBACK · exact_regime
FredAI policy
promote
Desk posture
standard
See INJ chart with overlay More thesesAll INJ theses