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Thesis · thesis_mnz4deej_noh5in
0G

0G

 longFLAT 1-3d

Generated 49d ago · 2026-04-14T21:14:46Z · expires 2026-04-17

Conviction
74/100
Bull / Bear
78/46
Analyst scores
Realized PnL
-0.00%
peak +0.02% · MAE -0.00%
R:R
2.0:1
Reward over risk
Post-mortem
LONG · auto-derived

Thesis expired flat — closed -0.03%.

  • Closed -0.03% at conviction 74/100. No standout execution signal — a routine outcome inside expected variance.

Derived deterministically from stored entry/target/stop levels, peak PnL, and max adverse excursion. No model inference — every line maps to a number in the ledger.

Price levels
Entry low
$0.5978
Entry high
$0.6016
Target 1
$0.6117
Target 2
$0.6191
Stop loss
$0.5900
Technical analysis · 4h
Open in Chart Lab
Trend · bearishMomentum · oversoldVolatility · highSMA · death cross
RSI 14
30.6
Bearish
ADX 14
24.5
Weak trend
ATR 14
0.0100
2.62% of price
Bollinger 20 · 2σ
Upper 0.4300
Lower 0.3700
inside
SMA stack
200.4000
500.4200
2000.5000
TA Workspace · 0G
Full workspace

Candles + Bollinger bands (20·2σ) + SMA 20/50 overlays + price-action arrows (engulf / breakout / reclaim / reject) + support and resistance zones. Toggle layers from the panel controls. For the full workspace with presets and split timeframes, click "Full workspace".

0G · 4H4H technical map
Syncing
Layers
Drawing technical layers...
Follow this thesis· pre-filled trade plan
Inputs
Mark $0.381080 · max 3x
$
$
$
$
$
%
x
Trade plan
Position size
10,309.2784 0G
$6.18K
Leverage
0.62x
≤ 3x cap
Effective risk
$100.00
1.00% of account
Liq estimate
—
approx · verify on HL
Stop P&L
-$100.00
1.00% of account
R:R potential
1 : 2.00
T2
Scenarios
T1 hit @ 0.6117
+1.24R$123.71(+1.24%)
T2 hit @ 0.6191
+2.00R$200.00(+2.00%)
Stop hit @ 0.59
-1.00R-$100.00(-1.00%)
Open 0G on HyperliquidSet the side / leverage / order type yourself in HL — this calculator does not auto-execute.
Bull case
  • 4h ADX confirms trend strength.
  • 1h ADX confirms trend strength.
  • FredAI memory aligns with the live structure read.
  • Candidate quality is 139.1 and the desk still classifies the setup as ready for publication.
  • DONCHIAN BREAKOUT replay (latest asset) scored 23.1, returned 16.45%, win rate 100.0%.
  • FredAI promotes this setup. SMA CROSS is graded B in current memory. Policy confidence 100.0.
Bear case
  • ADX is near 48.4, so trend force is present but follow-through still needs monitoring.
  • The stop band sits near $0.5900, and any failure to move cleanly away from entry should be treated as an early warning.
  • Model risk fallback used after: scheduler fast path.
Oracle Debate

See the bull vs bear showdown

Side-by-side debate with score visualizer, individual argument cards, and verdict synthesis. The marketing-grade view of how the thesis was built.

Open Oracle Debate
Debate transcript
Commander verdict
attack

The desk sees enough aligned evidence to let the setup trade with normal urgency. Simulation leadership is dominant with a clear winner. Strategy command is still warming.

Final thesis
0G Long: attack command backs the directional case

The desk sees enough aligned evidence to let the setup trade with normal urgency. Simulation leadership is dominant with a clear winner. Strategy command is still warming. 0G cleared the desk with the LONG case leading on structure, while the opposing case remains tactical rather than dominant.

Technical analyst memo
Asset
0G
Price0.60
Timestamp1776201123188
Indicators
{
  "rsi14": 57.72,
  "macd": {
    "macd": 0.01,
    "signal": 0.02,
    "histogram": 0
  },
  "bollingerBands": {
    "upper": 0.64,
    "middle": 0.59,
    "lower": 0.53,
    "width": 19.07
  },
  "sma20": 0.59,
  "sma50": 0.55,
  "sma200": 0.53,
  "ema12": 0.59,
  "ema26": 0.58,
  "atr14": 0.03,
  "stochastic": {
    "k": 11.91,
    "d": 16.48
  },
  "adx14": 48.36,
  "obv": 2511993.0563899996
}
Signals
{
  "trend": "bullish",
  "momentum": "oversold",
  "volatility": "high",
  "macdCross": "none",
  "bbPosition": "inside",
  "smaTrend": "golden_cross",
  "patterns": []
}
Composite
{
  "bullScore": 7,
  "bearScore": 5.5,
  "overallBias": "bull"
}
Timeframes
{
  "15m": {
    "asset": "0G",
    "timestamp": 1776201123185,
    "price": 0.5997,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 53.37,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0,
        "signal": 0,
        "histogram": 0
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 0.62,
        "middle": 0.59,
        "lower": 0.57,
        "width": 7.94
      },
      "sma20": 0.59,
      "sma50": 0.6,
      "sma200": 0.6,
      "ema12": 0.6,
      "ema26": 0.6,
      "atr14": 0.01,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 46.39,
        "d": 74.72
      },
      "adx14": 31.18,
      "obv": 245738.41623999996
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "neutral",
      "momentum": "neutral",
      "volatility": "low",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "none",
      "patterns": [
        "Bearish Engulfing"
      ]
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 5.5,
      "bearScore": 5,
      "overallBias": "neutral"
    }
  },
  "1h": {
    "asset": "0G",
    "timestamp": 1776201123186,
    "price": 0.5997,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 52.77,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0,
        "signal": 0,
        "histogram": 0
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 0.61,
        "middle": 0.6,
        "lower": 0.58,
        "width": 4.86
      },
      "sma20": 0.6,
      "sma50": 0.6,
      "sma200": 0.55,
      "ema12": 0.6,
      "ema26": 0.6,
      "atr14": 0.01,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 46.39,
        "d": 45.56
      },
      "adx14": 34.44,
      "obv": 977283.2895600004
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "neutral",
      "momentum": "neutral",
      "volatility": "normal",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "golden_cross",
      "patterns": []
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 5.5,
      "bearScore": 5,
      "overallBias": "neutral"
    }
  },
  "4h": {
    "asset": "0G",
    "timestamp": 1776201123187,
    "price": 0.5997,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 57.72,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0.01,
        "signal": 0.02,
        "histogram": 0
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 0.64,
        "middle": 0.59,
        "lower": 0.53,
        "width": 19.07
      },
      "sma20": 0.59,
      "sma50": 0.55,
      "sma200": 0.53,
      "ema12": 0.59,
      "ema26": 0.58,
      "atr14": 0.03,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 11.91,
        "d": 16.48
      },
      "adx14": 48.36,
      "obv": 2511993.0563899996
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "bullish",
      "momentum": "oversold",
      "volatility": "high",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "golden_cross",
      "patterns": []
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 7,
      "bearScore": 5.5,
      "overallBias": "bull"
    }
  },
  "1d": {
    "asset": "0G",
    "timestamp": 1776201123188,
    "price": 0.5997,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 62.63,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0.01,
        "signal": 0,
        "histogram": 0.01
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 0.61,
        "middle": 0.52,
        "lower": 0.44,
        "width": 31.8
      },
      "sma20": 0.52,
      "sma50": 0.56,
      "sma200": 1.08,
      "ema12": 0.56,
      "ema26": 0.55,
      "atr14": 0.05,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 35.08,
        "d": 38.09
      },
      "adx14": 28.83,
      "obv": 21663311.69582001
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "neutral",
      "momentum": "neutral",
      "volatility": "high",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "death_cross",
      "patterns": [
        "Doji"
      ]
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 6.5,
      "bearScore": 5,
      "overallBias": "bull"
    }
  }
}
Sentiment analyst memo
Funding Rate-0.00
Open Interest555609.95
Price0.60
Risk officer memo
Approvedyes
Risk rating
low
Max position %4
Leverage3
Stop loss0.59
Take profit0.62
Risk:Reward
2.0:1
Max drawdown %1.62
Warnings
  • Model risk fallback used after: scheduler fast path
Adjustments
Deterministic fallback risk for 0G; keep size conservative until model risk manager confirms the setup.
Directional decision
Direction
long
Spread25
Dominant Conviction78
Threshold10
Calibrated debate
Bull Conviction78
Bear Conviction25
Notes
  • Scheduler fast path used deterministic thesis synthesis to preserve execution speed.
  • Fast-path direction gate: standard_guarded at 38.
  • Strategy commander: Strategy lab is usable, but AI should command conservatively while evidence builds.
  • Strategy lab: Strategy lab is warming and should support only measured AI command while the winner stabilizes.
  • Live learning: Recent thesis reached the first target cleanly; the desk can recycle the asset after a short reset.
  • FredAI promote state
  • Desk edge is weak, so provisional relaxation is disabled
  • SMA_CROSS is graded B in current memory
  • overfit penalty remains manageable at 10.0
  • replay remains supportive with score 23.1
  • LONG desk bias has 100 confidence
FredAI policy
State
promote
Score100
Conviction Adjustment6
Risk Adjustment2
Confidence91
Reasons
  • SMA_CROSS is graded B in current memory
  • overfit penalty remains manageable at 10.0
  • replay remains supportive with score 23.1
  • LONG desk bias has 100 confidence
Note
FredAI promotes this setup. SMA_CROSS is graded B in current memory. Policy confidence 100.0.
Live-learning brain
State
rewarding
Score1
Note
Recent thesis reached the first target cleanly; the desk can recycle the asset after a short reset.
Strategy commander brain
State
warming
Score45.40
Note
Strategy lab is usable, but AI should command conservatively while evidence builds.
Strategy lab brain
State
warming
Evidence Grade
C
Note
Strategy lab is warming and should support only measured AI command while the winner stabilizes.
Market snapshot at generation
Mark price
$0.5997
Funding rate
-0.0359%
Open interest
$0.6M
Macro regime
disinflation_drift_bull_lowvol
Replay regime
disinflation_drift_bull_lowvol
Replay strategy
DONCHIAN_BREAKOUT · latest_asset
FredAI policy
promote
Strategy command
warming
Strategy lab
warming
Desk posture
standard
Brain mode
fast
See 0G chart with overlay More thesesAll 0G theses