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Thesis · thesis_mnzo3yjb_xiwxeh
INJ

INJ

 longWIN 1-3d

Generated 49d ago · 2026-04-15T06:27:14Z · expires 2026-04-17

Conviction
68/100
Bull / Bear
78/46
Analyst scores
Realized PnL
+0.02%
peak +0.02% · MAE -0.00%
R:R
1.8:1
Reward over risk
Post-mortem
LONG · auto-derived

Thesis played out — closed +1.99%.

  • High conviction (68/100) was rewarded — the desk's confidence matched the result.
  • Captured most of the move — exit near the +1.99% peak with minimal giveback.
  • Planned at 1.8:1 reward-to-risk — a favorable payoff structure that paid off this time.

Derived deterministically from stored entry/target/stop levels, peak PnL, and max adverse excursion. No model inference — every line maps to a number in the ledger.

Price levels
Entry low
$2.9837
Entry high
$2.9956
Target 1
$3.0228
Target 2
$3.0431
Stop loss
$2.96
INJ · 1h candles · last 121
Entry / Target / Stop overlaid
7.56076.35575.15083.94592.74096.71785/29 12:005/30 18:006/1 00:006/2 06:006/3 12:00
Technical analysis · 4h
Open in Chart Lab
Trend · bullishMomentum · neutralVolatility · highSMA · golden cross
RSI 14
51.8
Neutral
ADX 14
39.0
Trending
ATR 14
0.3700
5.51% of price
Bollinger 20 · 2σ
Upper 7.32
Lower 6.19
inside
SMA stack
206.76
506.30
2005.00
PatternsBullish Harami
TA Workspace · INJ
Full workspace

Candles + Bollinger bands (20·2σ) + SMA 20/50 overlays + price-action arrows (engulf / breakout / reclaim / reject) + support and resistance zones. Toggle layers from the panel controls. For the full workspace with presets and split timeframes, click "Full workspace".

INJ · 4H4H technical map
Syncing
Layers
Drawing technical layers...
Follow this thesis· pre-filled trade plan
Inputs
Mark $6.7207 · max 5x
$
$
$
$
$
%
x
Trade plan
Position size
3,372.6813 INJ
$10.08K
Leverage
1.01x
≤ 5x cap
Effective risk
$100.00
1.00% of account
Liq estimate
$1.5071
approx · verify on HL
Stop P&L
-$100.00
1.00% of account
R:R potential
1 : 1.80
T2
Scenarios
T1 hit @ 3.0228
+1.12R$111.80(+1.12%)
T2 hit @ 3.0431
+1.80R$180.27(+1.80%)
Stop hit @ 2.96
-1.00R-$100.00(-1.00%)
Open INJ on HyperliquidSet the side / leverage / order type yourself in HL — this calculator does not auto-execute.
Bull case
  • 4h ADX confirms trend strength.
  • 1d ADX says trend strength is still soft.
  • 1h structure leans constructive.
  • Candidate quality is 54.3 and the desk still classifies the setup as cooling down.
  • RSI PULLBACK replay (latest asset) scored 18.0, returned 9.01%, win rate 100.0%.
  • FredAI promotes this setup. RSI PULLBACK is graded B in current memory. Policy confidence 83.5.
Bear case
  • ADX is only near 22.7, so the setup still carries meaningful chop risk.
  • The stop band sits near $2.9600, and any failure to move cleanly away from entry should be treated as an early warning.
  • This remains a provisional setup, so size should stay lighter and time-to-proof should stay shorter.
Oracle Debate

See the bull vs bear showdown

Side-by-side debate with score visualizer, individual argument cards, and verdict synthesis. The marketing-grade view of how the thesis was built.

Open Oracle Debate
Debate transcript
Commander verdict
defensive

The desk is still defensive here, so the setup only works if invalidation stays tight and follow-through appears quickly. Simulation leadership still looks competitive. Strategy command is defensive.

Final thesis
INJ Long: defensive command with guarded risk

The desk is still defensive here, so the setup only works if invalidation stays tight and follow-through appears quickly. Simulation leadership still looks competitive. Strategy command is defensive. INJ cleared the desk in provisional posture, so size should stay smaller and decay should happen faster if follow-through stalls.

Technical analyst memo
Asset
INJ
Price2.99
Timestamp1776234090166
Indicators
{
  "rsi14": 52.36,
  "macd": {
    "macd": 0.01,
    "signal": 0.01,
    "histogram": 0
  },
  "bollingerBands": {
    "upper": 3.06,
    "middle": 2.96,
    "lower": 2.86,
    "width": 6.93
  },
  "sma20": 2.96,
  "sma50": 2.96,
  "sma200": 2.97,
  "ema12": 2.99,
  "ema26": 2.98,
  "atr14": 0.04,
  "stochastic": {
    "k": 57.28,
    "d": 57.38
  },
  "adx14": 22.69,
  "obv": -137790.7972154301
}
Signals
{
  "trend": "bullish",
  "momentum": "neutral",
  "volatility": "low",
  "macdCross": "none",
  "bbPosition": "inside",
  "smaTrend": "none",
  "patterns": []
}
Composite
{
  "bullScore": 7,
  "bearScore": 5,
  "overallBias": "bull"
}
Timeframes
{
  "15m": {
    "asset": "INJ",
    "timestamp": 1776234090165,
    "price": 2.9896625,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 43.5,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0,
        "signal": 0,
        "histogram": 0
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 3.01,
        "middle": 3,
        "lower": 2.99,
        "width": 0.91
      },
      "sma20": 3,
      "sma50": 2.99,
      "sma200": 2.98,
      "ema12": 3,
      "ema26": 3,
      "atr14": 0.01,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 0,
        "d": 32.44
      },
      "adx14": 14.75,
      "obv": -22155.992956949995
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "bullish",
      "momentum": "neutral",
      "volatility": "low",
      "macdCross": "bearish_cross",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "none",
      "patterns": [
        "Bearish Marubozu"
      ]
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 6.5,
      "bearScore": 6.5,
      "overallBias": "neutral"
    }
  },
  "1h": {
    "asset": "INJ",
    "timestamp": 1776234090165,
    "price": 2.9896625,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 48.47,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0,
        "signal": 0,
        "histogram": 0
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 3.04,
        "middle": 3,
        "lower": 2.96,
        "width": 2.7
      },
      "sma20": 3,
      "sma50": 2.98,
      "sma200": 2.96,
      "ema12": 3,
      "ema26": 2.99,
      "atr14": 0.02,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 55.02,
        "d": 68.59
      },
      "adx14": 20.7,
      "obv": -140748.98204431
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "bullish",
      "momentum": "neutral",
      "volatility": "low",
      "macdCross": "bearish_cross",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "none",
      "patterns": [
        "Bearish Marubozu"
      ]
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 6.5,
      "bearScore": 6.5,
      "overallBias": "neutral"
    }
  },
  "4h": {
    "asset": "INJ",
    "timestamp": 1776234090165,
    "price": 2.9896625,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 52.36,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0.01,
        "signal": 0.01,
        "histogram": 0
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 3.06,
        "middle": 2.96,
        "lower": 2.86,
        "width": 6.93
      },
      "sma20": 2.96,
      "sma50": 2.96,
      "sma200": 2.97,
      "ema12": 2.99,
      "ema26": 2.98,
      "atr14": 0.04,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 57.28,
        "d": 57.38
      },
      "adx14": 22.69,
      "obv": -137790.7972154301
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "bullish",
      "momentum": "neutral",
      "volatility": "low",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "none",
      "patterns": []
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 7,
      "bearScore": 5,
      "overallBias": "bull"
    }
  },
  "1d": {
    "asset": "INJ",
    "timestamp": 1776234090166,
    "price": 2.9896625,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 51.22,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0,
        "signal": -0.03,
        "histogram": 0.02
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 3.08,
        "middle": 2.9,
        "lower": 2.71,
        "width": 12.85
      },
      "sma20": 2.9,
      "sma50": 2.99,
      "sma200": 5.37,
      "ema12": 2.96,
      "ema26": 2.96,
      "atr14": 0.13,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 73.5,
        "d": 78.99
      },
      "adx14": 9.07,
      "obv": -2414654.5272181365
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "bearish",
      "momentum": "neutral",
      "volatility": "high",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "death_cross",
      "patterns": [
        "Bullish Harami"
      ]
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 5.5,
      "bearScore": 6.5,
      "overallBias": "bear"
    }
  }
}
Sentiment analyst memo
Funding Rate-0.00
Open Interest1429758.09
Price2.99
Risk officer memo
Approvedyes
Risk rating
low
Max position %4
Leverage3
Stop loss2.96
Take profit3.04
Risk:Reward
1.8:1
Max drawdown %0.99
Warnings
  • Model risk fallback used after: scheduler fast path
Adjustments
Deterministic fallback risk for INJ; keep size conservative until model risk manager confirms the setup.
Directional decision
Direction
long
Spread24.25
Dominant Conviction78
Threshold10
Calibrated debate
Bull Conviction78
Bear Conviction25
Notes
  • Scheduler fast path used deterministic thesis synthesis to preserve execution speed.
  • Fast-path direction gate: standard_guarded at 38.
  • Strategy commander: Strategy lab is weak here, so AI should stay defensive.
  • Strategy lab: Strategy lab is warming and should support only measured AI command while the winner stabilizes.
  • Live learning: Recent stopped thesis is still cooling down.
  • FredAI promote state
  • Desk edge is weak, so provisional relaxation is disabled
  • RSI_PULLBACK is graded B in current memory
  • overfit penalty is elevated at 24.0
  • replay remains supportive with score 18.0
  • LONG desk bias has 97 confidence
FredAI policy
State
promote
Score83.50
Conviction Adjustment6
Risk Adjustment2
Confidence78.90
Reasons
  • RSI_PULLBACK is graded B in current memory
  • overfit penalty is elevated at 24.0
  • replay remains supportive with score 18.0
  • LONG desk bias has 97 confidence
Note
FredAI promotes this setup. RSI_PULLBACK is graded B in current memory. Policy confidence 83.5.
Live-learning brain
State
penalizing
Score-9.80
Note
Recent stopped thesis is still cooling down.
Strategy commander brain
State
cautious
Score37.50
Note
Strategy lab is weak here, so AI should stay defensive.
Strategy lab brain
State
warming
Evidence Grade
C
Note
Strategy lab is warming and should support only measured AI command while the winner stabilizes.
Market snapshot at generation
Mark price
$2.9897
Funding rate
-0.0116%
Open interest
$1.4M
Macro regime
balanced_range_bear_lowvol
Replay regime
balanced_range_bear_lowvol
Replay strategy
RSI_PULLBACK · latest_asset
FredAI policy
promote
Strategy command
cautious
Strategy lab
warming
Desk posture
provisional
Brain mode
fast
See INJ chart with overlay More thesesAll INJ theses