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Thesis · thesis_mo2jbfc4_vxynav
0G

0G

 longFLAT 1-3d

Generated 47d ago · 2026-04-17T06:36:22Z · expires 2026-04-20

Conviction
74/100
Bull / Bear
78/46
Analyst scores
Realized PnL
-0.01%
peak +0.01% · MAE -0.01%
R:R
2.0:1
Reward over risk
Post-mortem
LONG · auto-derived

Thesis expired flat — closed -0.77%.

  • Closed -0.77% at conviction 74/100. No standout execution signal — a routine outcome inside expected variance.

Derived deterministically from stored entry/target/stop levels, peak PnL, and max adverse excursion. No model inference — every line maps to a number in the ledger.

Price levels
Entry low
$0.6222
Entry high
$0.6298
Target 1
$0.6582
Target 2
$0.6780
Stop loss
$0.6000
Technical analysis · 4h
Open in Chart Lab
Trend · bearishMomentum · oversoldVolatility · highSMA · death cross
RSI 14
28.5
Oversold
ADX 14
21.3
Weak trend
ATR 14
0.0100
2.60% of price
Bollinger 20 · 2σ
Upper 0.4400
Lower 0.3800
inside
SMA stack
200.4100
500.4300
2000.5000
PatternsBullish Harami
TA Workspace · 0G
Full workspace

Candles + Bollinger bands (20·2σ) + SMA 20/50 overlays + price-action arrows (engulf / breakout / reclaim / reject) + support and resistance zones. Toggle layers from the panel controls. For the full workspace with presets and split timeframes, click "Full workspace".

0G · 4H4H technical map
Syncing
Layers
Drawing technical layers...
Follow this thesis· pre-filled trade plan
Inputs
Mark $0.381450 · max 3x
$
$
$
$
$
%
x
Trade plan
Position size
3,846.1538 0G
$2.41K
Leverage
0.24x
≤ 3x cap
Effective risk
$100.00
1.00% of account
Liq estimate
—
approx · verify on HL
Stop P&L
-$100.00
1.00% of account
R:R potential
1 : 2.00
T2
Scenarios
T1 hit @ 0.6582
+1.24R$123.85(+1.24%)
T2 hit @ 0.678
+2.00R$200.00(+2.00%)
Stop hit @ 0.6
-1.00R-$100.00(-1.00%)
Open 0G on HyperliquidSet the side / leverage / order type yourself in HL — this calculator does not auto-execute.
Bull case
  • 4h ADX confirms trend strength.
  • 1h RSI is hot, but the trend still holds.
  • 1h ADX confirms trend strength.
  • Candidate quality is 127.4 and the desk still classifies the setup as ready for publication.
  • DONCHIAN BREAKOUT replay (latest asset) scored 23.1, returned 16.45%, win rate 100.0%.
  • FredAI promotes this setup. SMA CROSS is graded B in current memory. Policy confidence 89.8.
Bear case
  • ADX is near 47.8, so trend force is present but follow-through still needs monitoring.
  • The stop band sits near $0.6000, and any failure to move cleanly away from entry should be treated as an early warning.
  • Model risk fallback used after: scheduler fast path.
Oracle Debate

See the bull vs bear showdown

Side-by-side debate with score visualizer, individual argument cards, and verdict synthesis. The marketing-grade view of how the thesis was built.

Open Oracle Debate
Debate transcript
Commander verdict
constructive

The desk sees a credible setup, but still wants disciplined execution rather than chasing. Simulation leadership is dominant with a clear winner. Strategy command is still warming.

Final thesis
0G Long: constructive command backs the directional case

The desk sees a credible setup, but still wants disciplined execution rather than chasing. Simulation leadership is dominant with a clear winner. Strategy command is still warming. 0G cleared the desk with the LONG case leading on structure, while the opposing case remains tactical rather than dominant.

Technical analyst memo
Asset
0G
Price0.63
Timestamp1776407643462
Indicators
{
  "rsi14": 63.04,
  "macd": {
    "macd": 0.01,
    "signal": 0.01,
    "histogram": 0
  },
  "bollingerBands": {
    "upper": 0.62,
    "middle": 0.6,
    "lower": 0.58,
    "width": 6.74
  },
  "sma20": 0.6,
  "sma50": 0.57,
  "sma200": 0.53,
  "ema12": 0.61,
  "ema26": 0.6,
  "atr14": 0.02,
  "stochastic": {
    "k": 88.1,
    "d": 78.23
  },
  "adx14": 47.78,
  "obv": 2384136.08686
}
Signals
{
  "trend": "bullish",
  "momentum": "neutral",
  "volatility": "normal",
  "macdCross": "bullish_cross",
  "bbPosition": "above_upper",
  "smaTrend": "golden_cross",
  "patterns": []
}
Composite
{
  "bullScore": 9.5,
  "bearScore": 6,
  "overallBias": "strong_bull"
}
Timeframes
{
  "15m": {
    "asset": "0G",
    "timestamp": 1776407643460,
    "price": 0.626,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 71.05,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0,
        "signal": 0,
        "histogram": 0
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 0.63,
        "middle": 0.62,
        "lower": 0.6,
        "width": 4.43
      },
      "sma20": 0.62,
      "sma50": 0.61,
      "sma200": 0.6,
      "ema12": 0.62,
      "ema26": 0.62,
      "atr14": 0,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 76.19,
        "d": 81.46
      },
      "adx14": 41.92,
      "obv": 28625.419670000007
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "bullish",
      "momentum": "overbought",
      "volatility": "low",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "golden_cross",
      "patterns": [
        "Doji",
        "Bullish Harami"
      ]
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 8.5,
      "bearScore": 6,
      "overallBias": "bull"
    }
  },
  "1h": {
    "asset": "0G",
    "timestamp": 1776407643461,
    "price": 0.626,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 69.59,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0.01,
        "signal": 0,
        "histogram": 0
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 0.62,
        "middle": 0.61,
        "lower": 0.6,
        "width": 4.34
      },
      "sma20": 0.61,
      "sma50": 0.6,
      "sma200": 0.57,
      "ema12": 0.61,
      "ema26": 0.61,
      "atr14": 0.01,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 80.77,
        "d": 93.59
      },
      "adx14": 27.04,
      "obv": 879814.9646100004
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "bullish",
      "momentum": "overbought",
      "volatility": "low",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "above_upper",
      "smaTrend": "golden_cross",
      "patterns": []
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 8.5,
      "bearScore": 6,
      "overallBias": "bull"
    }
  },
  "4h": {
    "asset": "0G",
    "timestamp": 1776407643462,
    "price": 0.626,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 63.04,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0.01,
        "signal": 0.01,
        "histogram": 0
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 0.62,
        "middle": 0.6,
        "lower": 0.58,
        "width": 6.74
      },
      "sma20": 0.6,
      "sma50": 0.57,
      "sma200": 0.53,
      "ema12": 0.61,
      "ema26": 0.6,
      "atr14": 0.02,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 88.1,
        "d": 78.23
      },
      "adx14": 47.78,
      "obv": 2384136.08686
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "bullish",
      "momentum": "neutral",
      "volatility": "normal",
      "macdCross": "bullish_cross",
      "bbPosition": "above_upper",
      "smaTrend": "golden_cross",
      "patterns": []
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 9.5,
      "bearScore": 6,
      "overallBias": "strong_bull"
    }
  },
  "1d": {
    "asset": "0G",
    "timestamp": 1776407643462,
    "price": 0.626,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 65.44,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0.02,
        "signal": 0.01,
        "histogram": 0.01
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 0.64,
        "middle": 0.54,
        "lower": 0.45,
        "width": 35.72
      },
      "sma20": 0.54,
      "sma50": 0.56,
      "sma200": 1.03,
      "ema12": 0.58,
      "ema26": 0.56,
      "atr14": 0.05,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 43.12,
        "d": 39.25
      },
      "adx14": 37.36,
      "obv": 22607143.88984001
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "neutral",
      "momentum": "neutral",
      "volatility": "high",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "death_cross",
      "patterns": []
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 6.5,
      "bearScore": 5,
      "overallBias": "bull"
    }
  }
}
Sentiment analyst memo
Funding Rate-0.00
Open Interest544512.08
Price0.63
Risk officer memo
Approvedyes
Risk rating
medium
Max position %2.92
Leverage2
Stop loss0.60
Take profit0.68
Risk:Reward
2.0:1
Max drawdown %4.15
Warnings
  • Model risk fallback used after: scheduler fast path
Adjustments
Deterministic fallback risk for 0G; keep size conservative until model risk manager confirms the setup.
Directional decision
Direction
long
Spread25
Dominant Conviction78
Threshold10
Calibrated debate
Bull Conviction78
Bear Conviction25
Notes
  • Scheduler fast path used deterministic thesis synthesis to preserve execution speed.
  • Fast-path direction gate: strategy_commander_conflict at 38.
  • Strategy commander: Strategy lab is usable, but AI should command conservatively while evidence builds.
  • Strategy lab: Strategy lab is warming and should support only measured AI command while the winner stabilizes.
  • Live learning: Recent live theses showed some follow-through before breaking, so the desk wants a cleaner reset before re-entry.
  • FredAI promote state
  • Desk edge is weak, so provisional relaxation is disabled
  • Strategy commander conflicts with the desk direction
  • SMA_CROSS is graded B in current memory
  • overfit penalty remains manageable at 10.0
  • replay remains supportive with score 23.1
  • LONG desk bias has 100 confidence
FredAI policy
State
promote
Score89.80
Conviction Adjustment6
Risk Adjustment2
Confidence84.30
Reasons
  • SMA_CROSS is graded B in current memory
  • overfit penalty remains manageable at 10.0
  • replay remains supportive with score 23.1
  • LONG desk bias has 100 confidence
Note
FredAI promotes this setup. SMA_CROSS is graded B in current memory. Policy confidence 89.8.
Live-learning brain
State
penalizing
Score-3.10
Note
Recent live theses showed some follow-through before breaking, so the desk wants a cleaner reset before re-entry.
Strategy commander brain
State
warming
Score45.40
Note
Strategy lab is usable, but AI should command conservatively while evidence builds.
Strategy lab brain
State
warming
Evidence Grade
C
Note
Strategy lab is warming and should support only measured AI command while the winner stabilizes.
Market snapshot at generation
Mark price
$0.626
Funding rate
-0.0042%
Open interest
$0.5M
Macro regime
disinflation_drift_bull_lowvol
Replay regime
disinflation_drift_bull_lowvol
Replay strategy
DONCHIAN_BREAKOUT · latest_asset
FredAI policy
promote
Strategy command
warming
Strategy lab
warming
Desk posture
standard
Brain mode
fast
See 0G chart with overlay More thesesAll 0G theses