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Thesis · thesis_mo38d4lp_l5pjl6
INJ

INJ

 longFLAT 1-3d

Generated 46d ago · 2026-04-17T18:17:34Z · expires 2026-04-20

Conviction
74/100
Bull / Bear
78/46
Analyst scores
Realized PnL
-0.00%
peak +0.00% · MAE -0.01%
R:R
2.0:1
Reward over risk
Post-mortem
LONG · auto-derived

Thesis expired flat — closed -0.27%.

  • Closed -0.27% at conviction 74/100. No standout execution signal — a routine outcome inside expected variance.

Derived deterministically from stored entry/target/stop levels, peak PnL, and max adverse excursion. No model inference — every line maps to a number in the ledger.

Price levels
Entry low
$3.3701
Entry high
$3.4108
Target 1
$3.5393
Target 2
$3.6305
Stop loss
$3.2705
Technical analysis · 4h
Open in Chart Lab
Trend · bullishMomentum · neutralVolatility · highSMA · golden cross
RSI 14
54.2
Neutral
ADX 14
39.0
Trending
ATR 14
0.3800
5.53% of price
Bollinger 20 · 2σ
Upper 7.33
Lower 6.20
inside
SMA stack
206.76
506.31
2005.00
PatternsBullish Harami
TA Workspace · INJ
Full workspace

Candles + Bollinger bands (20·2σ) + SMA 20/50 overlays + price-action arrows (engulf / breakout / reclaim / reject) + support and resistance zones. Toggle layers from the panel controls. For the full workspace with presets and split timeframes, click "Full workspace".

INJ · 4H4H technical map
Syncing
Layers
Drawing technical layers...
Follow this thesis· pre-filled trade plan
Inputs
Mark $6.8657 · max 5x
$
$
$
$
$
%
x
Trade plan
Position size
833.6807 INJ
$2.83K
Leverage
0.28x
≤ 5x cap
Effective risk
$100.00
1.00% of account
Liq estimate
—
approx · verify on HL
Stop P&L
-$100.00
1.00% of account
R:R potential
1 : 2.00
T2
Scenarios
T1 hit @ 3.5393
+1.24R$124.09(+1.24%)
T2 hit @ 3.6305
+2.00R$200.13(+2.00%)
Stop hit @ 3.2705
-1.00R-$100.00(-1.00%)
Open INJ on HyperliquidSet the side / leverage / order type yourself in HL — this calculator does not auto-execute.
Bull case
  • 4h ADX confirms trend strength.
  • 1h ADX confirms trend strength.
  • Replay supports the live regime read.
  • Candidate quality is 101.8 and the desk still classifies the setup as ready for publication.
  • RSI PULLBACK replay (exact regime) scored 16.9, returned 7.58%, win rate 100.0%.
  • FredAI promotes this setup. RSI PULLBACK is graded B in current memory. Policy confidence 100.0.
Bear case
  • ADX is near 54.4, so trend force is present but follow-through still needs monitoring.
  • The stop band sits near $3.2705, and any failure to move cleanly away from entry should be treated as an early warning.
  • Model risk fallback used after: scheduler fast path.
Oracle Debate

See the bull vs bear showdown

Side-by-side debate with score visualizer, individual argument cards, and verdict synthesis. The marketing-grade view of how the thesis was built.

Open Oracle Debate
Debate transcript
Commander verdict
attack

The desk sees enough aligned evidence to let the setup trade with normal urgency. Strategy command is aligned enough to press the idea. Recent live outcomes are cooling rather than accelerating.

Final thesis
INJ Long: attack command backs the directional case

The desk sees enough aligned evidence to let the setup trade with normal urgency. Strategy command is aligned enough to press the idea. Recent live outcomes are cooling rather than accelerating. INJ cleared the desk with the LONG case leading on structure, while the opposing case remains tactical rather than dominant.

Technical analyst memo
Asset
INJ
Price3.39
Timestamp1776449614147
Indicators
{
  "rsi14": 67.23,
  "macd": {
    "macd": 0.11,
    "signal": 0.1,
    "histogram": 0.01
  },
  "bollingerBands": {
    "upper": 3.6,
    "middle": 3.24,
    "lower": 2.89,
    "width": 21.88
  },
  "sma20": 3.24,
  "sma50": 3.08,
  "sma200": 2.99,
  "ema12": 3.35,
  "ema26": 3.24,
  "atr14": 0.08,
  "stochastic": {
    "k": 75.66,
    "d": 82.13
  },
  "adx14": 54.37,
  "obv": 10704.324872729907
}
Signals
{
  "trend": "bullish",
  "momentum": "neutral",
  "volatility": "high",
  "macdCross": "none",
  "bbPosition": "inside",
  "smaTrend": "golden_cross",
  "patterns": []
}
Composite
{
  "bullScore": 8.5,
  "bearScore": 5,
  "overallBias": "strong_bull"
}
Timeframes
{
  "15m": {
    "asset": "INJ",
    "timestamp": 1776449614145,
    "price": 3.39049232,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 38.87,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0,
        "signal": 0.01,
        "histogram": -0.01
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 3.49,
        "middle": 3.44,
        "lower": 3.4,
        "width": 2.56
      },
      "sma20": 3.44,
      "sma50": 3.41,
      "sma200": 3.36,
      "ema12": 3.43,
      "ema26": 3.43,
      "atr14": 0.02,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 1.53,
        "d": 10.47
      },
      "adx14": 13.25,
      "obv": 103044.43696249
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "neutral",
      "momentum": "oversold",
      "volatility": "low",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "below_lower",
      "smaTrend": "golden_cross",
      "patterns": [
        "Bearish Marubozu"
      ]
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 6,
      "bearScore": 6.5,
      "overallBias": "neutral"
    }
  },
  "1h": {
    "asset": "INJ",
    "timestamp": 1776449614146,
    "price": 3.39049232,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 49.48,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0.02,
        "signal": 0.03,
        "histogram": 0
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 3.47,
        "middle": 3.41,
        "lower": 3.36,
        "width": 3.25
      },
      "sma20": 3.41,
      "sma50": 3.36,
      "sma200": 3.08,
      "ema12": 3.42,
      "ema26": 3.4,
      "atr14": 0.04,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 25.5,
        "d": 46.37
      },
      "adx14": 32.8,
      "obv": -48680.92012813
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "bullish",
      "momentum": "neutral",
      "volatility": "low",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "golden_cross",
      "patterns": [
        "Bearish Marubozu"
      ]
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 7,
      "bearScore": 5.5,
      "overallBias": "bull"
    }
  },
  "4h": {
    "asset": "INJ",
    "timestamp": 1776449614147,
    "price": 3.39049232,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 67.23,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0.11,
        "signal": 0.1,
        "histogram": 0.01
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 3.6,
        "middle": 3.24,
        "lower": 2.89,
        "width": 21.88
      },
      "sma20": 3.24,
      "sma50": 3.08,
      "sma200": 2.99,
      "ema12": 3.35,
      "ema26": 3.24,
      "atr14": 0.08,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 75.66,
        "d": 82.13
      },
      "adx14": 54.37,
      "obv": 10704.324872729907
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "bullish",
      "momentum": "neutral",
      "volatility": "high",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "inside",
      "smaTrend": "golden_cross",
      "patterns": []
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 8.5,
      "bearScore": 5,
      "overallBias": "strong_bull"
    }
  },
  "1d": {
    "asset": "INJ",
    "timestamp": 1776449614147,
    "price": 3.39049232,
    "indicators": {
      "rsi14": 64.58,
      "macd": {
        "macd": 0.07,
        "signal": 0.01,
        "histogram": 0.06
      },
      "bollingerBands": {
        "upper": 3.34,
        "middle": 2.97,
        "lower": 2.6,
        "width": 25
      },
      "sma20": 2.97,
      "sma50": 3,
      "sma200": 5.28,
      "ema12": 3.11,
      "ema26": 3.04,
      "atr14": 0.17,
      "stochastic": {
        "k": 85.4,
        "d": 83.72
      },
      "adx14": 15.47,
      "obv": -2197543.674218657
    },
    "signals": {
      "trend": "neutral",
      "momentum": "overbought",
      "volatility": "high",
      "macdCross": "none",
      "bbPosition": "above_upper",
      "smaTrend": "death_cross",
      "patterns": []
    },
    "composite": {
      "bullScore": 6.5,
      "bearScore": 6,
      "overallBias": "neutral"
    }
  }
}
Sentiment analyst memo
Funding Rate-0.00
Open Interest1660696.08
Price3.39
Risk officer memo
Approvedyes
Risk rating
medium
Max position %3.23
Leverage2
Stop loss3.27
Take profit3.63
Risk:Reward
2.0:1
Max drawdown %3.54
Warnings
  • Model risk fallback used after: scheduler fast path
Adjustments
Deterministic fallback risk for INJ; keep size conservative until model risk manager confirms the setup.
Directional decision
Direction
long
Spread25
Dominant Conviction78
Threshold10
Calibrated debate
Bull Conviction78
Bear Conviction25
Notes
  • Scheduler fast path used deterministic thesis synthesis to preserve execution speed.
  • Fast-path direction gate: standard_guarded at 34.
  • Strategy commander: Strategy lab is supportive enough for AI to command with normal controls.
  • Strategy lab: Strategy lab is constructive and can support normal AI command, but the desk should still respect regime fit.
  • Live learning: Recent thesis expired after partial progress; the idea can recycle sooner if structure improves again.
  • FredAI promote state
  • Desk edge is weak, so provisional relaxation is disabled
  • Strategy lab B is constructive
  • RSI_PULLBACK is graded B in current memory
  • overfit penalty is elevated at 24.0
  • exact-regime replay is available
  • replay remains supportive with score 16.9
FredAI policy
State
promote
Score100
Conviction Adjustment6
Risk Adjustment2
Confidence89
Reasons
  • RSI_PULLBACK is graded B in current memory
  • overfit penalty is elevated at 24.0
  • exact-regime replay is available
  • replay remains supportive with score 16.9
Note
FredAI promotes this setup. RSI_PULLBACK is graded B in current memory. Policy confidence 100.0.
Live-learning brain
State
cooling
Score-0.70
Note
Recent thesis expired after partial progress; the idea can recycle sooner if structure improves again.
Strategy commander brain
State
supported
Score61.90
Note
Strategy lab is supportive enough for AI to command with normal controls.
Strategy lab brain
State
constructive
Evidence Grade
B
Note
Strategy lab is constructive and can support normal AI command, but the desk should still respect regime fit.
Market snapshot at generation
Mark price
$3.3905
Funding rate
-0.0026%
Open interest
$1.7M
Macro regime
disinflation_range_bull_lowvol
Replay regime
disinflation_range_bull_lowvol
Replay strategy
RSI_PULLBACK · exact_regime
FredAI policy
promote
Strategy command
supported
Strategy lab
constructive
Desk posture
standard
Brain mode
fast
See INJ chart with overlay More thesesAll INJ theses
INJ LONG thesis · NEUTRAL · -0.27% — EGOLDS