EGOLDSv4
Sign in
Back to thesis page
Oracle Debate · 9buhe_2t7mve
GRASS

GRASS

longClosed · Loss

Published 46d ago · conviction 74/100 · live mark $0.47543 (-1.49% / 24h)

Bull vs Bear verdict
Bull case
78
Bull dominant
margin 32 pts
Bear case
46
63%
37%

Direction-aligned thesis. The winning bull case agrees with the published direction (long) — internal coherence is high.

Bull case
Winner
  1. 14h ADX confirms trend strength.
  2. 21d ADX confirms trend strength.
  3. 31h structure leans constructive.
  4. 4Candidate quality is 75.6 and the desk still classifies the setup as ready for publication.
  5. 5RSI PULLBACK replay (exact regime) scored 22.6, returned 15.44%, win rate 100.0%.
  6. 6FredAI promotes this setup. RSI PULLBACK is graded B in current memory. Policy confidence 88.5.
Bear case
  1. 1ADX is near 27.2, so trend force is present but follow-through still needs monitoring.
  2. 2The stop band sits near $0.3500, and any failure to move cleanly away from entry should be treated as an early warning.
  3. 3Model risk fallback used after: scheduler fast path.
Trade setup
Conviction
74/100
Entry low
$0.3536
Entry high
$0.3555
Target 1
$0.3602
Target 2
$0.3637
Stop loss
$0.3500
R:R
2.0:1
Timeframe
1-3d
Expires
2026-04-21
Current mark
$0.47543
Technical analysis · 4h
Open in Chart Lab
Trend · neutralMomentum · neutralVolatility · highSMA · golden crossMACD · bullish_cross
RSI 14
49.7
Neutral
ADX 14
24.7
Weak trend
ATR 14
0.0300
6.31% of price
Bollinger 20 · 2σ
Upper 0.5000
Lower 0.4400
inside
SMA stack
200.4700
500.4900
2000.4000
Outcome
Realized PnL
-1.56%
Peak run
-0.17%
Max adverse
-1.56%
Closed · Loss
Drill into the call
GRASS chart + overlayFull thesis · market snapshotAll GRASS theses
How the Oracle Debate works

For every published thesis, EGOLDS independently constructs the strongest bull case and the strongest bear case — both adversarial, both fully data-driven from TA + funding + sentiment + on-chain context. The two cases are scored on argument quality, then a risk layer approves or kills the trade before publication. You see both sides before placing any size. No hidden agenda, no one-sided pitch.