EGOLDSv4
Sign in
Back to thesis page
Oracle Debate · uv2fg_y8on1p
GRASS

GRASS

longClosed · Loss

Published 85d ago · conviction 68/100 · live mark $0.35436 (-3.40% / 24h)

Bull vs Bear verdict
Bull case
78
Bull dominant
margin 32 pts
Bear case
46
63%
37%

Direction-aligned thesis. The winning bull case agrees with the published direction (long) — internal coherence is high.

Bull case
Winner
  1. 11d ADX confirms trend strength.
  2. 24h ADX confirms trend strength.
  3. 31h ADX confirms trend strength.
  4. 4Candidate quality is 127.4 and the desk still classifies the setup as cooling down.
  5. 5RSI PULLBACK replay (exact regime) scored 23.0, returned 15.44%, win rate 100.0%.
  6. 6FredAI promotes this setup. RSI PULLBACK is still graded C and warming. Policy confidence 77.9.
Bear case
  1. 1ADX is near 41.2, so trend force is present but follow-through still needs monitoring.
  2. 2The stop band sits near $0.4000, and any failure to move cleanly away from entry should be treated as an early warning.
  3. 3This remains a provisional setup, so size should stay lighter and time-to-proof should stay shorter.
Trade setup
Conviction
68/100
Entry low
$0.4179
Entry high
$0.4229
Target 1
$0.4457
Target 2
$0.4612
Stop loss
$0.4000
R:R
2.0:1
Timeframe
1-3d
Expires
2026-04-26
Current mark
$0.35436
GRASS · 1h candles · last 121
Entry / Target / Stop overlaid
0.4670.43510.40330.37150.33960.35437/13 20:007/15 02:007/16 08:007/17 14:007/18 20:00
Technical analysis · 4h
Open in Chart Lab
Trend · bearishMomentum · neutralVolatility · highSMA · death cross
RSI 14
37.6
Bearish
ADX 14
26.0
Trending
ATR 14
0.0100
2.82% of price
Bollinger 20 · 2σ
Upper 0.4000
Lower 0.3400
inside
SMA stack
200.3700
500.3800
2000.4400
Outcome
Realized PnL
-4.85%
Peak run
+5.85%
Max adverse
-8.65%
Closed · Loss
Drill into the call
GRASS chart + overlayFull thesis · market snapshotAll GRASS theses
How the Oracle Debate works

For every published thesis, EGOLDS independently constructs the strongest bull case and the strongest bear case — both adversarial, both fully data-driven from TA + funding + sentiment + on-chain context. The two cases are scored on argument quality, then a risk layer approves or kills the trade before publication. You see both sides before placing any size. No hidden agenda, no one-sided pitch.