EGOLDSv4
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Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5

Resolves Jul 19, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC·2 days left· $967.3K all-time
Current outcome prices
Over
market-implied probability
41.5%
Under
market-implied probability
58.5%
Trade on Polymarket
24h volume
$520.5K
7d volume
$967.3K
Liquidity
$1.05M
order book depth
Status
Active
Created Jul 16, 2026, 3:07 AM UTC
Desk read

Market roughly balanced. Highest potential edge zone — any directional information moves price meaningfully.

Recent trade-print path

Not enough recent trade prints in the buffer (0) to plot a path. The trade buffer (1.5k cross-market) refreshes every minute; come back when more flow has landed in this market, or check the "Recent trades" table below for individual prints.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Argentina, scheduled for July 19 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Spain and Argentina combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

How to read market price

Outcome price between $0.00 and $1.00 is the market's implied probability for that outcome. A "Yes" at $0.65 means traders collectively think there's a 65% chance the answer ends up Yes. If you disagree by 10+ percentage points, you have a tradable edge — but liquidity may be thin on long-tail markets. Trade on Polymarket .