France vs. England: Team to Win
Market leans Yes. If your edge is on the leaning side, expected value works against you on price; look for catalysts.
Every dot is a real Polymarket trade for this market. Y-axis is the agreed YES probability at that print (price × 100). VWAP weighs each print by its size — a more honest "crowd consensus" than the simple mean when one whale dominates flow.
| Trader | Side | Outcome | Size × Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Attached-Elderberry | BUY | England | 38 × 34.0% | $13 | 5m ago |
| Sane-Shoreline | BUY | France | 3 × 67.0% | $2 | 5m ago |
| Bewitched-Burglar | BUY | France | 22 × 67.0% | $15 | 59s ago |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | BUY | England | 459 × 34.0% | $156 | 1m ago |
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup third-place play-off between France and England, scheduled for July 18 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France officially wins the match and finishes third in the FIFA World Cup. This market will resolve to "England" if England officially wins the match and finishes third in the FIFA World Cup. This includes a win after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed or a winner is officially declared. If the game is canceled entirely and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Outcome price between $0.00 and $1.00 is the market's implied probability for that outcome. A "Yes" at $0.65 means traders collectively think there's a 65% chance the answer ends up Yes. If you disagree by 10+ percentage points, you have a tradable edge — but liquidity may be thin on long-tail markets. Trade on Polymarket .