Polymarket · prediction markets
The probability tape.
Live Polymarket prediction markets sourced from the Gamma API. Every market resolves to a binary outcome — current price = market-implied probability. Crypto, politics, sports, culture. Trade venue is on Polygon.
Active markets sampled
30
Top by 24h vol
Top 30 · 24h vol
$31.68M
combined trading notional
Top 30 · liquidity
$74.1K
order book depth
Closest resolution
1 d
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
Top events
Events bundle multi-outcome markets
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
$11.08M · 24h · resolves Jun 1, 2026
Spain vs. Argentina - Exact Score
$4.82M · 24h · resolves Jul 19, 2026
World Cup Winner
$3.96M · 24h · resolves Jul 20, 2026
Spain vs. Argentina - More Markets
$2.94M · 24h · resolves Jul 19, 2026
Fed Decision in July?
$2.91M · 24h · resolves Jul 29, 2026
France vs. England - More Markets
$2.72M · 24h · resolves Jul 18, 2026
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
$5.09M · 24h vol · $28.7K liq
Yes0.2%
No99.8%
Jun 1, 2026resolving
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
$4.86M · 24h vol · $26.2K liq
Yes0.3%
No99.7%
Jun 1, 2026resolving
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$2.83M · 24h vol · $8.40M liq
Yes40.2%
No59.9%
Jul 20, 20262d left
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
$1.74M · 24h vol · $3.88M liq
Yes51.5%
No48.5%
Jul 18, 20261d left
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
$1.62M · 24h vol · $2.33M liq
Yes2.9%
No97.2%
Jul 19, 20262d left
France vs. England: Team to Win
$1.39M · 24h vol · $1.99M liq
France66.5%
England33.5%
Jul 18, 20261d left
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
$1.14M · 24h vol · $27.4K liq
Yes0.3%
No99.7%
Jun 1, 2026resolving
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$1.13M · 24h vol · $9.18M liq
Yes59.2%
No40.8%
Jul 20, 20262d left
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
$1.03M · 24h vol · $579.0K liq
Yes0.4%
No99.7%
Jul 29, 202611d left
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
$875.8K · 24h vol · $7.64M liq
Spain59.5%
Argentina40.5%
Jul 19, 20262d left
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
$755.4K · 24h vol · $1.11M liq
Over41.5%
Under58.5%
Jul 19, 20262d left
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
$733.0K · 24h vol · $944.4K liq
Yes0.4%
No99.7%
Jul 29, 202611d left
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$725.1K · 24h vol · $1.12M liq
Yes0.7%
No99.4%
Nov 7, 2028843d left
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
$650.0K · 24h vol · $172.0K liq
Yes2.3%
No97.8%
Dec 6, 2026141d left
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$600.5K · 24h vol · $1.06M liq
Yes27.5%
No72.5%
Dec 31, 2026166d left
Will France vs. England end in a draw?
$580.3K · 24h vol · $3.39M liq
Yes24.5%
No75.5%
Jul 18, 20261d left
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?
$575.4K · 24h vol · $736.0K liq
Yes3.1%
No96.9%
Jul 19, 20262d left
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?
$554.4K · 24h vol · $522.8K liq
Yes2.1%
No97.9%
Jul 19, 20262d left
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
$548.6K · 24h vol · $510.6K liq
Yes94.8%
No5.3%
Jul 29, 202611d left
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
$503.4K · 24h vol · $197.8K liq
Yes18.3%
No81.7%
Oct 31, 2026105d left
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
$472.4K · 24h vol · $274.7K liq
T181.5%
Karmine Corp18.5%
Jul 18, 20261d left
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
$427.1K · 24h vol · $4.82M liq
Yes26.5%
No73.5%
Jul 19, 20262d left
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?
$412.5K · 24h vol · $476.4K liq
Yes3.6%
No96.4%
Jul 18, 20261d left
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
$408.8K · 24h vol · $1.88M liq
Yes9.5%
No90.5%
Jul 19, 20262d left
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
$394.5K · 24h vol · $481.4K liq
Yes0.9%
No99.1%
Jul 19, 20262d left
What is Polymarket?
Polymarket is the dominant on-chain prediction market — over $1B+ peak volume on event resolutions (elections, crypto price targets, sports). Markets settle binary (Yes/No), so a price of 0.65 = market thinks 65% probability of Yes. Trade on polymarket.com . Sprint 8 expands this to include whale tracking, insider detection, and cross-venue arb vs Kalshi.