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Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Resolves Nov 7, 2028, 12:00 AM UTC·843 days left· $52.11M all-time
Current outcome prices
Yes
market-implied probability
0.5%
No
market-implied probability
99.5%
Trade on Polymarket
24h volume
$720.4K
7d volume
$1.02M
Liquidity
$1.12M
order book depth
Status
Active
Created Jul 11, 2025, 6:36 PM UTC
Desk read

Market is essentially certain on No. Yes is lottery-ticket cheap — only buy if you have specific tail-risk thesis.

Recent trade-print path

Not enough recent trade prints in the buffer (2) to plot a path. The trade buffer (1.5k cross-market) refreshes every minute; come back when more flow has landed in this market, or check the "Recent trades" table below for individual prints.

Whale flow · last 2 trades on this market
All whales →
Buy notional
$0
0 trades
Sell notional
$0
2 trades
Buy share
0%
notional-weighted
Unique wallets
1
in window
TraderSideOutcomeSize × PriceNotionalWhen
SELLNo0 × 99.2%$07m ago
SELLNo0 × 99.2%$07m ago
Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

How to read market price

Outcome price between $0.00 and $1.00 is the market's implied probability for that outcome. A "Yes" at $0.65 means traders collectively think there's a 65% chance the answer ends up Yes. If you disagree by 10+ percentage points, you have a tradable edge — but liquidity may be thin on long-tail markets. Trade on Polymarket .