LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Market leans Yes. If your edge is on the leaning side, expected value works against you on price; look for catalysts.
Every dot is a real Polymarket trade for this market. Y-axis is the agreed YES probability at that print (price × 100). VWAP weighs each print by its size — a more honest "crowd consensus" than the simple mean when one whale dominates flow.
| Trader | Side | Outcome | Size × Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drab-Novel | BUY | Karmine Corp | 3051 × 26.0% | $793 | 4m ago |
| BUY | Karmine Corp | 8 × 26.0% | $2 | 4m ago | |
| Nimble-Ovary | SELL | T1 | 30 × 74.0% | $22 | 4m ago |
| All-Peasant-Drug | SELL | Karmine Corp | 23 × 25.0% | $6 | 4m ago |
| BUY | Karmine Corp | 96 × 26.0% | $25 | 4m ago | |
| Juicy-Quinoa | SELL | Karmine Corp | 50 × 25.0% | $13 | 4m ago |
| BUY | Karmine Corp | 423 × 26.0% | $110 | 4m ago | |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | SELL | Over | 14 × 99.9% | $14 | 4m ago |
| BUY | T1 | 133 × 75.0% | $100 | 4m ago | |
| Affectionate-Loggia | SELL | T1 | 0 × 74.0% | $0 | 4m ago |
| Grateful-Graphic | SELL | Karmine Corp | 820 × 25.0% | $205 | 4m ago |
| Other-Onset | SELL | T1 | 30 × 74.0% | $22 | 4m ago |
| Orderly-Testament | SELL | T1 | 8 × 74.0% | $6 | 4m ago |
| Everlasting-Vignette | BUY | T1 | 13 × 75.0% | $10 | 4m ago |
| Nimble-Ovary | SELL | T1 | 25 × 74.0% | $19 | 4m ago |
| BUY | T1 | 2000 × 75.0% | $1.5K | 4m ago | |
| Reasonable-Barber | SELL | Karmine Corp | 31 × 99.9% | $31 | 4m ago |
| Zany-Autoimmunity-Warfare | SELL | T1 | 25 × 74.0% | $19 | 4m ago |
| Muffled-Frustration | SELL | T1 | 20 × 74.0% | $15 | 4m ago |
| Impish-Gigantism | BUY | Karmine Corp | 19 × 26.0% | $5 | 5m ago |
This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 1 match between T1 and Karmine Corp in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 18 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against T1. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Outcome price between $0.00 and $1.00 is the market's implied probability for that outcome. A "Yes" at $0.65 means traders collectively think there's a 65% chance the answer ends up Yes. If you disagree by 10+ percentage points, you have a tradable edge — but liquidity may be thin on long-tail markets. Trade on Polymarket .