Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Market roughly balanced. Highest potential edge zone — any directional information moves price meaningfully.
Not enough recent trade prints in the buffer (2) to plot a path. The trade buffer (1.5k cross-market) refreshes every minute; come back when more flow has landed in this market, or check the "Recent trades" table below for individual prints.
| Trader | Side | Outcome | Size × Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sane-Shoreline | BUY | Spain | 3 × 60.0% | $2 | 5m ago |
| Whispered-Toque | BUY | Argentina | 1220 × 41.0% | $500 | 1m ago |
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Argentina, scheduled for July 19 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This market will resolve to "Argentina" if Argentina is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed or a team is officially declared to advance. If the game is canceled entirely and no team advances from this match, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Outcome price between $0.00 and $1.00 is the market's implied probability for that outcome. A "Yes" at $0.65 means traders collectively think there's a 65% chance the answer ends up Yes. If you disagree by 10+ percentage points, you have a tradable edge — but liquidity may be thin on long-tail markets. Trade on Polymarket .