Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska
Market leans No. Yes side is cheap convexity if you see a tail-risk catalyst.
Every dot is a real Polymarket trade for this market. Y-axis is the agreed YES probability at that print (price × 100). VWAP weighs each print by its size — a more honest "crowd consensus" than the simple mean when one whale dominates flow.
| Trader | Side | Outcome | Size × Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden-Forgery | SELL | Anna Kalinskaya | 20 × 18.0% | $4 | 3m ago |
| Bitter-Camera | BUY | Anna Kalinskaya | 26 × 19.0% | $5 | 3m ago |
| Wary-Music | BUY | Anna Kalinskaya | 5 × 19.0% | $1 | 3m ago |
| Elaborate-Interconnection | BUY | Anna Kalinskaya | 5 × 19.0% | $1 | 3m ago |
| Left-Poultry | BUY | Anna Kalinskaya | 5 × 19.0% | $1 | 3m ago |
| Flimsy-Notebook | SELL | Maja Chwalinska | 17 × 81.0% | $14 | 3m ago |
| Unfortunate-Skeleton | BUY | Maja Chwalinska | 12 × 82.0% | $10 | 3m ago |
| Rare-Dumbwaiter | BUY | Anna Kalinskaya | 26 × 19.0% | $5 | 3m ago |
| Flimsy-Notebook | SELL | Maja Chwalinska | 1158 × 81.0% | $938 | 3m ago |
| Quarterly-Compress | BUY | Maja Chwalinska | 1000 × 82.0% | $820 | 3m ago |
| Crooked-Fatherinlaw | BUY | Maja Chwalinska | 7 × 82.0% | $5 | 3m ago |
| Pointed-Length | SELL | Maja Chwalinska | 10 × 70.0% | $7 | 4m ago |
| Elegant-Ram | BUY | Maja Chwalinska | 10 × 73.0% | $7 | 4m ago |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min | BUY | Maja Chwalinska | 5 × 75.0% | $4 | 8m ago |
| BUY | Maja Chwalinska | 2 × 71.0% | $1 | 8m ago | |
| BUY | Maja Chwalinska | 6 × 71.0% | $4 | 8m ago | |
| BUY | Maja Chwalinska | 6 × 71.0% | $4 | 8m ago | |
| Tinted-Text | BUY | Maja Chwalinska | 3750 × 74.0% | $2.8K | 8m ago |
| Inferior-Ownership | BUY | Maja Chwalinska | 30 × 74.0% | $22 | 8m ago |
| Subtle-Trumpet | BUY | Maja Chwalinska | 205 × 71.0% | $146 | 8m ago |
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Kalinskaya and Maja Chwalinska in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kalinskaya' if Anna Kalinskaya advances against Maja Chwalinska. This market will resolve to 'Maja Chwalinska' if Maja Chwalinska advances against Anna Kalinskaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome price between $0.00 and $1.00 is the market's implied probability for that outcome. A "Yes" at $0.65 means traders collectively think there's a 65% chance the answer ends up Yes. If you disagree by 10+ percentage points, you have a tradable edge — but liquidity may be thin on long-tail markets. Trade on Polymarket .